Chigozie Marquis
But why has the war lasted this long when it was thought that it would just be for a short moment? Never because the world powers are using the war to test run their capacity and using the two brotherly country as a fertile ground for Arms and Ammunition Sales.
It is time for a peaceful settlement of the Russo-Ukrainian war.
The losses are terrible – with not less than a million dead. Materially, the mind is boggled when you learn that Ukraine’s grid power has been completely destroyed. In this image, Ukraine had just struck Russia’s second largest oil refinery with a Neptune missile and the flames are leaping in celebration of the carnage.
But there are more ominous developments. Nearly all the NATO nations involved in this business have given Ukraine a green to strike targets on Russian soil with their weapons with very little qualifications. On its own part, Ukraine had flown about two drone sorties to hit Russian horizons radars – gigantic radar installations that are primarily built as an early warning system to detect western nuclear missiles heading for Russia. Those radars are thought to be of no relevance to this much smaller war and Ukraine has no business attacking them – or so it appears. Russia has intoned that the United States is destroying those radar installations preparatory to a preemptive nuclear strike on Russia, a statement that appears to be milking the rather lighter situation in many ways.
In the heel of these is the fact that the $60b arms deal given Ukraine by the United States has started impacting the battlefield as new weapons and ammunition are appearing at the fronts. This is coming after Russia is having to rely on Iran, North Korea and China for arms. The meaning is, China may have to get deeper into this fight. The air is thick with all the seduction and the compulsion it takes and China is already deep into the slippery slope. On their own part, NATO members (not NATO proper) led by France is already deploying troops to Ukraine under some sort of a Coalition of the Willing. On the Russian side, a lot of black skinned mercenaries are showing up too, along with Korean looking men. This shows the escalatory trend in the conflict.
North of Ukraine, Belarus, a vassal of Russia is hosing thousands of Russian reserve troops and from the way they are stirring, it is taken for granted by well informed analysts that another prong of the invasion could be launched from this front any moment. This is one particular reason the ‘Coalition of the Willing’ is mobilizing because such a front is expected to stretch Ukrainian defenses too thinly that it will give way unless support comes from outside.
As things stand therefore, it is more of NATO versus China, Russia, Iran and North Korea. All the elements of that battle line are there only the nomenclature is different. The men and the weapons from those countries are fighting already, howbeit low-key, waiting for a trigger for generalizing and globalizing the fight and the catalyst for that is the consent of the NATO nations for Ukraine to strike Russia-based targets. That consent has been given. The next is the arrival of the F-16 fighter jets which is expected to lay waste to several segments of the Russian lines and logistics.
Russia plans to respond with nuclear weapons if it finds its back to the wall. That can happen. China may not be willing to go the whole June yards. Iran may backtrack. This is an extraordinary situation and anything can happen.
And what if Russia is cornered and it fires nukes?
That is what we should pray against because from that point forward, nobody is so sure of what will happen. But it is likely that NATO nuclear weapons in Europe will be employed in returning fire. Russia is a great tract of land but it has only two cities: Moscow and St. Petersburg. It knows this and has, since the 1960s, primed thousands of its missiles to strike hundreds of cities in the US and in Europe in the event of a nuclear war.
A nuclear war will last just a few minutes, maybe an hour and a half. It is decisive and final and it will leave maybe just about 5000 survivors whose fate will mostly be worse than those of the dead.
If this war doesn’t end now, something very regrettable is bound to happen with global consequences and it will be worse for developing counties who have neither bunkers nor food storage.
